CFD Index Trading
Short and Close ASX 200 Index
Long ASX 200 in the morning, close at mid-day
Short EuroStoxx and Close
Short Nikkei 225 and Close
Short S&P 500 and Closed Short Position
Short Nasdaq 100 and Closed Short Position
Total Profit: $326.72
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 150% profit for TRADING on OIL - CFDS
www.cfdtraderfans.com
Last week, I did mention it a good time to buy OIL when it at it bottom around 60 US per barrel.
Crude oil for December delivery gained as much as $3.26, or 5.3 percent, to $64.30 a barrel in after-hours electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It was at $63.90 at 10:33 a.m. in Singapore
Crude oil and gold rose for a second day after China announced a 4 trillion-yuan ($586 billion) stimulus package that may spur economic growth and demand for fuels.
China, the world’s second-largest oil consumer, yesterday said it will spend the money through 2010 on housing and infrastructure, boosting demand for commodities including iron ore, crude oil and copper, which also gained. Saudi Aramco, the world’s biggest state oil company, told South Korean and Japanese refiners it would cut December supplies.
Cheers,

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SmallCapWrap: Good Evening, Thomas Su, thanks for joining us, I believe you have been busy again?
Thomas Su: Yes, indeed, the past 7 days has confirmed my fear - but as I have said many times, no worse news is a good news. GM, Ford, unemployment rates in US are all same old story, which is why while the market was bad, it was a positive sign?
SmallCapWrap: Positive in what sense? Can you see some positive news from these activities?
Thomas Su: Yes, indeed. There are several things worth noting. The consumer confidence has improved dramatically from October, in fact, I believe it was the best since the record started, US and Germany have both reported very sharp increase in consumer confidence.
Why? Well, do you feel confident now? I do, with oil price now approaching $1.00 per litre, something we have not seen for years, interest rate is falling sharply - many consumers are like you and me, we actually have more spending power now - Governments have done a lot, and economic stimulus packages will increase the spending and hence the confidence.
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Thomas Su
An erratic trading days last few days with the market once again volatile, the post-Obama election effect was there, with the markets retreated once again as the reality and harsh economic conditions remain as a major challenge.
As mentioned in many instances, the biggest challenge is unemployment rate, the call-off of GM-Chrysler merger is now a major concern with GM likely to file for bankruptcy with more than 100,000 employees losing job and another 100,000 in affiliated businesses.
This is a real concern - and to be honest, there are not a lot of positive news out there.
But the market has rebounded, although still at very weak point. China’s economy stimulus package may provide some short term fire power, and hope that will add some support to the dragging commodities market.
But, I do think the market maybe searching for the bottom - the sell off in October may take most of the falls already - but more are likely to come, but maybe not such a magnitude.
So, I have started buying stocks, especially in the first week of November:
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10月再度成為惡夢月份﹐歷史以來﹐5月和10月一直都是傳說﹐迷信中的不佳月份﹐其實這只是迷信而已﹐但2008年10月的確帶來不佳計錄﹐為歷史來最慘淡的月份。全球危機仍舊存在﹐10月底股市稍有反彈﹐但整個月份以來﹐全球股市下跌20%到40%不等﹐有些國家如冰島﹐匈亞利﹐烏客蘭﹐阿根廷更是已經面臨金融危機靠外國救援。而貧窮國家更不用說﹐連新聞一邊都沾不上﹐問題實在是太多了。
 
在這種股市中﹐驚慌是很平常的﹐連我自己也感到很大壓力﹐也擔憂基金的問題越來越多﹐因此也賣出股份來融資現金來做下一步的投資規劃﹐當然﹐股票一賣出﹐股票就大漲﹗哈﹐這只是巧合罷了﹐我對短期的股市還是不樂觀。
 
這是因為我們還沒有看到公司退縮的程度﹐9月份雷曼兄弟崩潰的影響要到下一個季度才會出現﹐美國汽車業危機重重﹐隨時會有更壞消息出現﹐帶來大規模的裁員﹐中國前景不定。
 
日本日元高漲﹐影響到出口。澳元大跌的問題還在﹐某些分析家預計會跌到40分﹐有可能嗎﹖這年頭﹐什麼都有可能。
 
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SmallCapWrap: Good Morning, Thomas Su, once again, the market has an interesting week, what are your thoughts?
Thomas Su: The focus will be now more on credit crunch and its impact on the overall economy, and not just on financial and banking sectors. For Australia, the main concern will be on the resources sector, we have seen dramatic fall on resources and commodities price already.
SmallCapWrap: Your thoughts on Government initiatives?
Thomas Su: Nothing is perfect, but at least the strategies will help, and should prevent large-scale bankrupticies of the banks. The Governments have done well I think, my confidence about the market has improved somewhat.
SmallCapWrap: Do you think it is a good time to enter into resources stocks?
Thomas Su: For large resources stocks, their value is now coming up, but of couse that depends on the demand for commodities. When economy slows down, commodities are likely to fall further, therefore, the current valuation will need to be relooked.
Having said that, I think for producers, this is a good time to at least start looking into them, falling AUD is another positive factor.
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Daily Movers - 24-Oct-2008

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鈾礦股介紹﹕Paladin Energy (ASX: PDN)
PDN是最早前往非洲開採鈾礦的公司之一﹐也算是澳洲資源股中的先鋒之一﹐如今非洲的礦產資源提昇﹐預計在那米比亞的礦脈壽命將可超過10年。而在之間﹐PDN更是積極的尋求在全球投資更多鈾礦的機會﹐並且會持續收購有希望的中小型鈾礦公司。

PDN曾是市場寵兒﹐在股市高潮時股價遠超過$10價格﹐為全球最大的鈾礦公司之一﹐公司在股價高漲時成功完成多次融資計劃。這也讓PDN成為規模很大的鈾礦公司﹐在短短幾年內﹐公司將位於非洲的礦產帶入生產﹐也收購了另一家澳洲主要鈾礦公司Summit Resources並且正在提昇另一上市公司Deep Yellow Limited的股權﹐借此成為更擴充的全方位鈾礦公司。
過去幾個月來公司的進展不少﹐最讓人注意的是位於非洲的兩大項目提昇了原預測礦藏﹐公司在那米比亞的鈾礦最新預測將高達6580萬磅﹐比2005年的預測(2560萬) 高出2倍對﹐這對公司的價值會有幫助﹐也因此﹐公司也宣佈會更進一步的提昇項目來提昇生產。
非洲的鈾礦已經進行多年﹐但首期的鈾礦在不久前才出口出去。非洲的項目擁有幾大優點﹐一是低成本﹐二是高收益﹐三是政府對開採鈾礦的支持還有就是現成的完善基礎設施。PDN的董事經驗豐富﹐也都經歷過不少辛酸﹐在我剛認識PDN時﹐公司將近破產﹐在市場上集資﹐但都沒有公司願意支持。事隔多年(不到8年) ﹐公司成為這麼成功的公司﹐但董事會的原班人馬並沒有改變多少﹐可見董事會過去8年來對公司的經營有方。
另外幾件事情對PDN的未來發展會有影響﹕
政治因素 -這包括美國和澳洲兩地的因素﹕
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当澳洲股票市场的回报开始下跌的时候，人们很容易被高利率的储蓄账户和定期存款所吸引——不过把钱从股市中抽离并不总是一个好主意，尤其是在高股息的股票能够提供更高的收益率的时候。这一秘诀是追踪那些目前以及未来支付高额股息的股票。
购买支付高额股息的股票意味着，你不需要依靠股价的上涨来赚钱。这在市场抛售或者横向盘整的时候大有用场。因为股息来自于公司的盈利，即便股价下跌，你的股息也不会下跌。
那么如何追踪支付高额股息的股票呢？仅仅因为一家公司现在支付高额股息，又如何知道它在日后是否还会继续支付高额股息呢？我们有许多秘诀可以使用，不过首先我们弄清楚我们要寻找的是什么。
许多公司每六个月就向股东支付股息——通常是在4月和10月。在支付了公司运营成本之后——工资、设备、贷款利息和其他项目——公司将剩下的（盈利）的一部分以股息的形式支付给股东。然后公司可以将剩下的盈利进行再投资，以获得未来增长。
那些基础牢固的公司倾向于支付股息——它们通常被称作“蓝筹股”。这些公司在各个板块都能发现，如银行、保险和零售，在IT或生物科技这样的投机性和新行业则较为少见。
金融评论员和分析师喜欢谈论股息收益率而不是直接的股息。因为股息收益率使他们能够将公司一一对比，并且把公司与整个板块进行对比。分析师计算股息收益率时用股息除以股价，然后乘以100，得出一个百分数。我们以NAB为例。该银行为截至2007年9月30日的财年里支付了1.82澳元/股的股息。按照28澳元的股价，其计算是：
NAB的股息收益率=182/2800 X 100 = 6.5%
 
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倖免股分析
 
那些類股可能不會受到全球經濟風暴影響﹖
 
我們現在打開報紙﹐網站﹐滿滿的公司不利消息﹐感覺上好像全球進入大恐慌時期﹐科技的進步帶來很多好處﹐但讓不利的消息更是傳的比火燒還快﹐而很多媒體更是選擇只報壞消息﹐不報好消息﹐更是造成恐慌。
 
我在過去幾個月來經常有人來電詢問我哪一些公司較不會受到波及﹐哪些公司表現會較好﹐他們說﹐我們知道金融股面臨危機﹐礦產資源股前景也不佳﹐但股市總是會有好有壞﹐除了現金﹐錢都投資到那去了﹖
 
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